بیانیه شجاعانه هنرمندان و درخواست محاکمه خامنه ای / آزادی نزدیک است

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Given what has been said about the price of the dollar, sanctions and the price of the rial, the next question could be what are the prices and indices on the stock exchange in 1400?

Asset markets in 1398 and 1399 have witnessed significant growth in prices. Stock prices, housing, cars and gold (which have now fallen) have risen sharply following the jump in currency prices. The prevailing assumption is that the price of all assets has moved away from the growth rate of liquidity due to inflationary expectations and the belief in the miracle of constant price increases by the general public in the capital market during 1998 and 1999. Whether a return to average has occurred is a major question that is often asked.

Re-inflation of asset prices in 1400 seems unlikely. At the moment, we do not see an increase in property prices, despite their low level of production. Due to overshoot property prices and despite low supply, the market is not elastic; Trading volume has fallen sharply, as speculative (non-consumption) demand has also declined, so the new liquidity of 1400 will not focus on this asset, but will overshoot prices. Of course, it is important to pay attention to price stickiness in this sector, ie prices are not adjusted. Owners will not reduce prices, but inflation in 1400 and maybe 1401 is needed to adjust prices and get the sector out of recession.

What about the stock market? Has the necessary adjustment been made? Has the overshoot that occurred due to the expectations and presence of millions of traders been corrected? Can we expect to return to historical averages? Apparently, after a drop of one million units, we must say that no matter how fast the market has gone, it should now return to its historical average, although the adjustment was made due to the limited range of slow oscillation. In addition, in some parts of the market, especially in the sub-sector of small OTC companies, we see behavior similar to the real estate market, and the prices of some stocks may still not be good. In this subsection, due to the range of fluctuations, we see similar behavior in the real estate market in some stocks. I mean the issue of price stickiness in the housing market and price function. In the stock market, too, some marketers try to avoid price correction by filling the base volume, hoping that inflation and project progress will fill prices; That is, to fill overshooted prices.